‚Spatial and temporal dynamics of risk and vulnerability’ was the topic of the third INQUIMUS workshop. The workshop was successfully held from 21st – 23rd of September 2016 at the Edmundsburg above the roofs of Salzburg.
The meeting gathered more than 30 participants, with a high diversity of different thematic backgrounds as well as from junior to distinguished senior scientists. Discussions and presentations where held in a very interactive way, which define the unique character of to the INQUIMUS workshops. It aims to be a platform of exchange, using new approaches of moderation – often unusual in the academic arena.
The workshop started with an inspirational talk about ‘The futurist from Salzburg - Robert Jungk’ from Stefan Wally of the Robert Jungk Library for Future Studies. Throughout his time in modern history, Jungk has been called a forward thinker, and explorer of the future and a proponent of peace. The presentation reminded the participants that the future is made in the presence, and that the involvement of those concerned remains key.
So called, state-of-the-art talks (SOTA) where provided by a diversity of experts and scientists:
• Hans-Martin Füssel reflected on the use of scenarios from the perspective of the European Environmental Agency as well as requirements for vulnerability assessment
• Susan Cutter reflected on her experience and active involvement in the recent IPCC processes and the development of the ‘consolidated’ risk framework
• Jasper van Vliet provided insights on how land use scenarios are implemented and what are related challenges
• Anne Goujon provided an overview on socio-demographic scenarios and how they can be integrated in risk and vulnerability assessments
Next to these SOTAs participants presented a range of posters, including case studies of risk and vulnerability assessments or the development of new indices as well as data for scenarios. The poster collection is available online.
Most of the time participants exchanged and developed new ideas, thoughts and insights in a range of interactive session.
As a common conclusion, the participants identified open issues to be addressed in the context of ‘risk and vulnerability scenarios’:
• Systematic assessment of scenarios and their use in decision making
• Weighting of indicators, especially in a multi-hazard environment
• Interaction of vulnerability drivers remains open
• Aiming to non-privilege certain knowledge or schools of thinking
• Vulnerability studies in the big data domain
• The intention to strengthen co-evolution of policy and risk/vulnerability assessments
• Challenges is the domains of quantitative vs qualitative assessments, and expert-based vs participatory approaches
• How can scenarios be put into best possible practice?
• How can IPCC approach to digest, harvest and synthesize scientific knowledge be transferred to other domains
• Linking of risk/vulnerability with impacts
Scope of the 2016 workshop
The thematic scope of the 2016 INQUIMUS workshop was on scenarios relevant for assessments of risks and vulnerabilities. Data gaps regarding the environmental and socioeconomic drivers of risk and vulnerability combined with methodological challenges hamper the development of such scenarios. This is particularly problematic given the need for scenarios by planners and decision-makers in the context of climate change adaptation as well as in disaster risk reduction.
INQUIMUS 2016 reflected on the following topics and invited abstracts covering one or more of the following questions:
• How do we build scenarios relevant for risk and vulnerability in disaster research and/or climate change adaptation?
• How do we build on existing socio-economic and environmental data to produce integrated scenarios?
• How do we bridge the gap between quantitative and qualitative scenarios?
• How can we integrate our knowledge from the past into future projections?
• How can scenarios for risk and vulnerability assessments support better decision-making?
• What are the requirements for scenario-based approaches to be used in practice?
• What specific challenges exist in the development of scenarios and projections, for example regarding economic or population growth or anthropogenic activities (e.g., unrest, urbanization, land use/cover changes)?
INQUIMUS 2016 provided a setting for generative conversations. In addition to the thematic questions above, we explored the following guiding questions throughout the workshop:
• Why do we develop and use scenarios?
• What future possibilities of practice we want to serve with the development of scenarios for risk and vulnerability assessments?
• What are we trying to create?
• Marion Borderon (Z_GIS, University of Salzburg - Austria)
• Stefan Kienberger (Z_GIS, University of Salzburg - Austria)
• Stefan Schneiderbauer (EURAC - Italy)
• Marc Zebisch (EURAC - Italy)
• Peter Zeil (Z_GIS, University of Salzburg - Austria)
• Susan Cutter (HVRI, University of South Carolina - USA)
• Melanie Gall (HVRI, University of South Carolina - USA)
• Matthias Garschagen (United Nations University - UNU-EHS)
• Michael Hagenlocher (United Nations University - UNU-EHS)
• Andrea Critto (University Ca' Foscari Venice – Italy)
• Silvia Torresan (University Ca' Foscari Venice – Italy)
For INQUIMUS 2016 SOTA presentations, posters, participant list and documentation please log in here.